
The SDP can be viewed from
three inter-related angles viz., in terms of production, income and
expenditure. The methodology followed in arriving the estimates of SDP of
Manipur is mainly according to the guidelines laid down by the Central
Statistical Organisation (CSO), Government of India, depending on the nature
and availability of data of the sectors and sub-sectors. The methodology
and principles adopted by the CSO is based on the Systems of National
Accounts (SNA) suggested by the Statistical Office of the United Nations. In
order to estimate the SDP of Manipur, the entire economic activity is
broadly classified into three major sectors viz., Primary, Secondary and
Tertiary which altogether comprises of thirteen sub-sectors. The estimates
of SDP are prepared both at current and constant prices. The estimates at
current prices are obtained by evaluating the products at prices prevailing
during the year. The estimates so derived, over the years, do not reveal
actual economic growth because these includes the combined effect of the
changes in the volume of goods and services as well as the changes in the
prices of goods and services. In order to project a picture of real economic
growth or depict the overall real increase/decrease in the production of the
state, the goods and services are evaluated at the prices prevailed in a
particular fixed year known as base year.These estimates are known as
estimates at constant prices.
The new series of National
Accounts Statistics (NAS) with 1993-94 as the base year was released by the
CSO on the 3rd of February, 1999. In order to facilitate the
preparation of the estimates of SDP by the State Directorate of Economics
and Statistics corresponding to the New Series, a workshop on ‘New Series on
National Accounts Statistics’ was organised by the CSO during 23-24
March,1999 at New Delhi. The workshop was attended by the representatives of
all the State Directorate of Economics and Statistics. Keeping on the line
of discussion had in the workshop, the Directorate of Economics and
Statistics, Manipur has prepared the New Series at current/constant prices
with 1993-94 as the base year.
Conventionally, the base year
is shifted decennially to a year in which decennial population census has
been conducted as the data on working force have been obtained from the
population census. However, in the New Series, the base year has been
revised to 1993-94. In the present revision exercise, the CSO has mainly
been guided by three considerations, namely, (i) revision of base year to a
more recent year for a more meaningful analysis of the structural changes in
the economy, (ii) complete review of the existing data base and methodology
employed in the estimation of various macro-economic aggregates including
choice of alternative databases on individual subjects and (iii) to the
extent possible implementing the recommendations of the 1993 SNA prepared
under the auspices of the Inter Secretariat Working Group on National
Accounts comprising of the European Communities (EUROSTAT), International
Monetary Fund (IMF), Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
(OECD), United Nation and World Bank. The fact that the NSSO in its
quinquennial survey on Employment and Unemployment have been able to
capture the activity of people much better than the population census,
particularly those of females led the CSO to adopt for the first time the
work force estimates based on NSS work force participation rates from the
1993-94 (50th Round) survey results. This has been one of the
main reasons to choose 1993-94 as the base year for the estimation of
National Accounts Statistics in the New Series.
An important feature of the New
Series is the allocation of Imputed Banking Charge (IBC) or Financial
Intermediation Service Indirectly Measured (FISIM) to user industries viz.,
agriculture, livestock, forestry, fishing, mining and quarrying,
manufacturing, electricity and gas, transport, construction, storage, trade,
hotels and restaurants, business services and other services as intermediate
input. The FISIM is the income of banking and financial enterprises which is
equivalent to interest and dividend receipts net of interest paid to
depositors. Since the banking and insurance sub-sector falls in the
supra-regional sector, the state-wise estimates of FISIM are estimated by
the National Accounts Division, CSO, and supplied to the States. The total
FISIM allocated to Manipur is distributed to different user industries of
state, in proportion to the respective sectoral Gross State Domestic Product
( GSDP). It may be mentioned that for the four supra-regional sectors viz.,
Railways, Communication, Banking and Insurance and Public Administration (
Central ) covering multi-unit establishments whose operation extend over a
number of states, the annual estimates are prepared by the CSO. The
estimates for the remaining sectors, as presented in this publication, are
prepared by the State Directorate basically based on the guidelines of the
CSO. However, there are certain areas where departures are to be resorted to
due to the nature of the database available hitherto. From the estimates of
GSDP for the different sectors, the CFC is deducted to arrive at the
estimates of NSDP. The CFC estimates are prepared by the CSO on the basis of
estimates of gross fixed capital stock for each type of assets available
over a sufficiently long period. Consumption of fixed capital is a cost of
production. It may be defined in general terms as the decline, during the
course of the accounting period, in the current value of the stock of fixed
assets owned and used by a producer as a result of physical deterioration,
normal obsolescence or normal accidental damage. It excludes the value of
fixed assets destroyed by acts of war or exceptional events such as major
natural disasters.